Southampton U18 vs Arsenal U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
57.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
12º
10º
47
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 3
SOU
23%
19%
58%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 6
TOT
25%
20%
55%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FUL
3 - 2
SOU
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 2
SOU
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
REA
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LEI
0 - 4
ARS
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ARS
3 - 0
REA
72%
16%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AST
2 - 3
ARS
33%
21%
46%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ARS
4 - 3
NOR
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CRY
3 - 3
ARS
61%
19%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |