Championship Round 12

Southampton vs West Ham analysis

Southampton West Ham
78 ELO 82
4.2% Tilt 16%
323º General ELO ranking 79º
23º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
41.1%
Southampton
25.8%
Draw
33%
West Ham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
Southampton
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33%
Win probability
West Ham
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton
-2%
-5%
West Ham

ELO progression

Southampton
West Ham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2011
DER
Derby County
1 - 1
Southampton
SOU
25%
25%
51%
78 65 13 0
01 Oct. 2011
SOU
Southampton
4 - 0
Watford
WAT
65%
21%
14%
78 68 10 0
28 Sep. 2011
CAR
Cardiff City
2 - 1
Southampton
SOU
39%
25%
36%
78 75 3 0
24 Sep. 2011
BUR
Burnley
1 - 1
Southampton
SOU
37%
25%
39%
78 73 5 0
21 Sep. 2011
SOU
Southampton
2 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
63%
21%
17%
78 68 10 0

Matches

West Ham
West Ham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2011
WHU
West Ham
4 - 0
Blackpool
BPO
64%
21%
16%
82 75 7 0
01 Oct. 2011
CRY
Crystal Palace
2 - 2
West Ham
WHU
22%
26%
52%
82 69 13 0
27 Sep. 2011
WHU
West Ham
0 - 1
Ipswich Town
IPS
72%
18%
11%
82 68 14 0
24 Sep. 2011
WHU
West Ham
1 - 0
Peterborough United
POS
70%
18%
12%
82 69 13 0
17 Sep. 2011
MIL
Millwall
0 - 0
West Ham
WHU
28%
27%
46%
82 72 10 0