Championship Round 8

Southampton vs Preston North End analysis

Southampton Preston North End
73 ELO 71
27.9% Tilt 1.9%
324º General ELO ranking 974º
23º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
63.7%
Southampton
18.3%
Draw
17.9%
Preston North End

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
Southampton
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.9%
Win probability
Preston North End
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton
-2%
-7%
Preston North End

ELO progression

Southampton
Preston North End
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 1964
OPA
Portsmouth
0 - 3
Southampton
SOU
49%
23%
28%
72 64 8 0
05 Sep. 1964
SOU
Southampton
2 - 0
Northampton
NOR
76%
14%
10%
71 63 8 +1
02 Sep. 1964
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 0
Southampton
SOU
54%
23%
24%
72 74 2 -1
29 Aug. 1964
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 1
Southampton
SOU
54%
22%
24%
73 69 4 -1
26 Aug. 1964
SOU
Southampton
3 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
64%
19%
17%
72 75 3 +1

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 1964
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
5 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
52%
23%
25%
73 74 1 0
05 Sep. 1964
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 3
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
57%
23%
21%
74 65 9 -1
31 Aug. 1964
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
55%
22%
22%
74 65 9 0
29 Aug. 1964
IPS
Ipswich Town
1 - 5
Preston North End
PNE
61%
20%
20%
73 74 1 +1
26 Aug. 1964
CAR
Cardiff City
3 - 3
Preston North End
PNE
43%
25%
32%
73 65 8 0