Southampton vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
0 - 0
BHA
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
4 - 1
POS
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CUM
3 - 2
SOU
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 0
STF
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
4 - 0
DAG
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 1
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
CHE
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
MOR
38%
24%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
STA
2 - 4
CHE
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |