South Melbourne vs Fawkner Blues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 3
GRE
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
PLI
1 - 2
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 2
AIS
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
OAK
1 - 0
SOU
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -4 |
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 0
HUM
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
HEU
2 - 3
FAB
87%
9%
3%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FAB
1 - 1
FRA
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 2
OAK
17%
23%
61%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
WHZ
1 - 1
FAB
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |