Sousel UD vs Montargilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousel UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MOS
2 - 0
SOU
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
MON
13%
19%
68%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GAF
3 - 0
SOU
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 0
SOU
85%
11%
5%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 2
GAV
10%
17%
74%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Montargilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
GAV
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
EPO
1 - 0
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
CRA
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
MON
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
FRO
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |