Sousa vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
BOT
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
BOT
20%
25%
56%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
GLO
5 - 1
PAL
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 1
GLO
73%
17%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BAH
3 - 1
GLO
81%
14%
6%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 1
ALE
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
GLO
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |