Sousa vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
BOT
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
TRE
1 - 3
SOU
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ECP
1 - 1
SOU
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
SOU
14%
19%
68%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 2
CSP
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
3 - 0
PAR
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
3 - 0
AUT
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
CSP
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CSP
1 - 2
BOT
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
CSP
0 - 1
CAM
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |