Sousa vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 2
CAM
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 6
SOU
18%
22%
61%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
ECP
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CSP
3 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CSP
2 - 1
DPB
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CSP
3 - 2
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
ECP
2 - 3
CSP
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CSP
1 - 1
AUT
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |