Sousa vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.7%
72.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 1
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 0
ABC
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
SOU
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 2
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 3
CSA
4%
12%
84%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CSA
4 - 0
BRA
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
COT
0 - 1
CSA
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
CON
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
CSA
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |