Sousa vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 4
VIT
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 3
SOU
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
SOU
3 - 1
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
ECP
0 - 0
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DPB
1 - 1
SOU
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
CAM
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
CAM
3 - 2
DPB
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
CAM
1 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAM
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
CRI
2 - 2
CAM
17%
23%
61%
|
58 | 10 | 48 | -1 |