Paraibano Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
DPB
0 - 2
SOU
24%
21%
54%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
TRE
38%
27%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
SOU
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
SPB
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CSP
1 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
4 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
5 - 0
DPB
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 4
ATM
15%
23%
63%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TRE
2 - 4
BOT
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
ALT
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |