Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AUT
1 - 1
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 2
CAM
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 2
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 2
CSP
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
CSP
66%
19%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
TRE
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOT
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |