Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
CAM
3 - 1
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TRE
3 - 1
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ECP
2 - 1
SOU
29%
25%
47%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 0
BOT
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
DPB
0 - 0
SOU
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 1
TRE
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
CAM
37%
24%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
4 - 0
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 0
BOT
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
CAM
34%
24%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |