Oberliga Niederrhein Round 27

Sonsbeck vs TVD Velbert analysis

Sonsbeck TVD Velbert
49 ELO 41
0.7% Tilt -4.2%
4712º General ELO ranking 7429º
218º Country ELO ranking 365º
ELO win probability
66.4%
Sonsbeck
18.6%
Draw
15%
TVD Velbert

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
Sonsbeck
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15%
Win probability
TVD Velbert
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sonsbeck
-11%
-14%
TVD Velbert

Points and table prediction

Sonsbeck
Their league position
TVD Velbert
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
18º
24
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Velbert
74
74
100%
Schonnebeck
72
72
100%
SC St. Tönis
70
70
100%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
69
69
100%
Homberg
62
62
100%
Hilden
60
60
100%
FC Büderich
53
53
100%
Sonsbeck
45
45
100%
Germania Ratingen
44
44
100%
Meerbusch
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Biemenhorst
11º
42
42
11º
100%
1.FC Monheim
12º
38
38
12º
100%
Kleve
13º
37
37
13º
100%
SF Baumberg
14º
35
35
14º
100%
SC Union Nettetal
15º
30
30
15º
100%
SF Niederwenigern
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Mülheimer FC 97
17º
27
27
17º
100%
TVD Velbert
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sonsbeck
TVD Velbert
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Sonsbeck
TVD Velbert
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sonsbeck
Sonsbeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
VFB
Homberg
2 - 0
Sonsbeck
SON
55%
24%
21%
50 57 7 0
30 Mar. 2025
SON
Sonsbeck
2 - 3
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
33%
25%
42%
50 54 4 0
23 Mar. 2025
1FC
1.FC Monheim
2 - 2
Sonsbeck
SON
30%
25%
45%
50 44 6 0
16 Mar. 2025
SON
Sonsbeck
1 - 1
Kleve
KLE
66%
19%
14%
49 40 9 +1
09 Mar. 2025
TEU
SC St. Tönis
2 - 2
Sonsbeck
SON
62%
22%
17%
48 54 6 +1

Matches

TVD Velbert
TVD Velbert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
TDV
TVD Velbert
1 - 3
SF Baumberg
SFB
29%
23%
48%
40 45 5 0
30 Mar. 2025
NET
SC Union Nettetal
1 - 4
TVD Velbert
TDV
39%
22%
39%
38 37 1 +2
23 Mar. 2025
TDV
TVD Velbert
1 - 1
SF Niederwenigern
SFN
38%
23%
39%
37 41 4 +1
16 Mar. 2025
FCB
FC Büderich
1 - 1
TVD Velbert
TDV
61%
20%
19%
36 48 12 +1
09 Mar. 2025
TDV
TVD Velbert
3 - 0
Mülheimer FC 97
MFC
36%
22%
42%
32 39 7 +4