Sonsbeck vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
49.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
17º
9º
54
6º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sonsbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DJK
0 - 2
SON
14%
18%
67%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
MEE
39%
22%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
SON
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SON
0 - 5
ROT
12%
18%
70%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NET
4 - 3
SON
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SWE
0 - 0
NET
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
HIL
1 - 0
SWE
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SWE
1 - 1
STR
63%
19%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 1
SPR
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SWE
1 - 2
WAT
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |