Somozas vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
MOS
2 - 1
SOM
57%
24%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
SOM
2 - 2
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
VIL
4 - 1
SOM
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
SOM
2 - 2
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
XOV
1 - 1
SOM
54%
25%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
CEL
2 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
POR
4 - 3
CEL
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
CEL
0 - 0
VIV
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
CER
1 - 3
CEL
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
CEL
1 - 2
PON
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |