Conference Premier Round 4

Solihull Borough vs Merthyr Tydfil FC analysis

Solihull Borough Merthyr Tydfil FC
33 ELO 39
3.8% Tilt -2.5%
31315º General ELO ranking 30416º
1153º Country ELO ranking 1145º
ELO win probability
41%
Solihull Borough
24.5%
Draw
34.5%
Merthyr Tydfil FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
Solihull Borough
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.5%
Win probability
Merthyr Tydfil FC
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Solihull Borough
Merthyr Tydfil FC
Histon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Solihull Borough
Solihull Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2004
AYL
Aylesbury United
1 - 0
Solihull Borough
SHB
39%
25%
37%
34 28 6 0
17 Aug. 2004
CHI
Chippenham Town
2 - 1
Solihull Borough
SHB
68%
19%
13%
33 42 9 +1
14 Aug. 2004
SHB
Solihull Borough
5 - 0
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
31%
25%
44%
28 38 10 +5
26 Nov. 1997
SHB
Solihull Borough
3 - 3
Darlington FC
DAR
30%
23%
47%
25 51 26 +3
15 Nov. 1997
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 1
Solihull Borough
SHB
80%
13%
7%
25 50 25 0

Matches

Merthyr Tydfil FC
Merthyr Tydfil FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2004
MER
Merthyr Tydfil FC
3 - 3
Chesham United
CHE
38%
25%
37%
37 42 5 0
17 Aug. 2004
MER
Merthyr Tydfil FC
0 - 1
Bath City
BAT
33%
25%
42%
37 46 9 0
14 Aug. 2004
STA
Stamford
0 - 0
Merthyr Tydfil FC
MER
47%
24%
29%
37 35 2 0
09 Nov. 1999
STA
Stalybridge Celtic
3 - 1
Merthyr Tydfil FC
MER
57%
21%
22%
37 36 1 0
02 Nov. 1999
MER
Merthyr Tydfil FC
2 - 2
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
60%
21%
20%
37 36 1 0