Torneo Regional Federal Amateur round 4

Sol de Mayo vs Cruz del Sur analysis

Sol de Mayo Cruz del Sur
30 ELO 28
2.1% Tilt 4.3%
21569º General ELO ranking 23056º
301º Country ELO ranking 319º
ELO win probability
61.6%
Sol de Mayo
19.5%
Draw
19%
Cruz del Sur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
Sol de Mayo
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19%
Win probability
Cruz del Sur
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sol de Mayo
-36%
-9%
Cruz del Sur

ELO progression

Sol de Mayo
Cruz del Sur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sol de Mayo
Sol de Mayo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2016
RAC
Racing Trelew
3 - 1
Sol de Mayo
SDM
71%
16%
13%
31 40 9 0
21 Feb. 2016
SDM
Sol de Mayo
5 - 2
Independiente Río Colorado
IND
54%
21%
24%
28 28 0 +3
23 Nov. 2015
CDS
Cruz del Sur
4 - 1
Sol de Mayo
SDM
34%
22%
44%
29 22 7 -1
19 Nov. 2015
SDM
Sol de Mayo
1 - 1
Germinal de Rawson
GER
50%
22%
29%
29 30 1 0
15 Nov. 2015
HUR
Huracán de Comodoro
3 - 1
Sol de Mayo
SDM
77%
16%
7%
30 50 20 -1

Matches

Cruz del Sur
Cruz del Sur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2016
CDS
Cruz del Sur
3 - 2
Independiente Río Colorado
IND
43%
23%
35%
26 31 5 0
28 Feb. 2016
CAI
CAI
3 - 1
Cruz del Sur
CDS
83%
12%
5%
26 46 20 0
23 Nov. 2015
CDS
Cruz del Sur
4 - 1
Sol de Mayo
SDM
34%
22%
44%
22 29 7 +4
19 Nov. 2015
BXC
Boxing Club AA
3 - 1
Cruz del Sur
CDS
62%
20%
18%
23 27 4 -1
11 Nov. 2015
CDS
Cruz del Sur
2 - 3
Germinal de Rawson
GER
41%
23%
37%
25 30 5 -2