Sol de América vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
OLI
2 - 1
AME
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
AME
0 - 2
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
AME
2 - 1
MUN
66%
18%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
AME
1 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
3 - 2
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
AME
5 - 0
NAC
53%
27%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
29%
25%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |