Sofia 2010 vs Germaneya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
74.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sofia 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CSK
8 - 0
SOF
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 63 | 52 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SOF
0 - 2
VIH
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 1
SOF
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SOF
1 - 2
RIL
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SOF
0 - 2
FKV
10%
18%
71%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Germaneya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GER
2 - 2
CHI
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 1
GER
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
4 - 1
GER
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GER
0 - 4
SEP
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -3 |