Sete de Setembro vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
SSS
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
SSS
0 - 2
SAN
14%
20%
66%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 1
SSS
86%
11%
4%
|
28 | 65 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 1
COR
12%
20%
68%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | +7 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SSS
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CSA
5 - 1
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
ASA
11%
21%
68%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 3
CSA
29%
30%
41%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |