SNL vs WBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
SNL
1 - 0
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BOM
4 - 2
SNL
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TAK
1 - 1
SNL
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 1
SNL
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 2
SNL
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 6
WBC
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
WBC
4 - 1
TRA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
WBC
2 - 1
NOT
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WBC
1 - 0
TAK
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
WBC
1 - 0
VIC
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |