SNL vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-94%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
YOR
3 - 3
SNL
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 0
PSV
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PEU
0 - 1
SNL
28%
24%
47%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
DES
1 - 1
SNL
24%
24%
53%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SNL
0 - 1
KAM
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
4 - 1
ROY
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
3 - 1
KAM
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
DES
2 - 2
NOT
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ELI
2 - 5
NOT
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |