Premier League Round 3

Smouha SC vs Al Ahly SC analysis

Smouha SC Al Ahly SC
73 ELO 78
-0.3% Tilt -2.8%
1153º General ELO ranking 1045º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.5%
Smouha SC
24.5%
Draw
27%
Al Ahly SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
Smouha SC
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27%
Win probability
Al Ahly SC
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Smouha SC
-25%
+36%
Al Ahly SC

ELO progression

Smouha SC
Al Ahly SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Smouha SC
Smouha SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2013
GHA
Ghazl El Mehalla
0 - 1
Smouha SC
SMO
40%
30%
30%
73 72 1 0
22 Jun. 2013
SMO
Smouha SC
0 - 0
Wadi Degla
WAD
58%
24%
18%
72 68 4 +1
30 May. 2013
SMO
Smouha SC
0 - 2
Olympic El Qanah
ALQ
86%
11%
4%
73 47 26 -1
24 May. 2013
GHA
Ghazl El Mehalla
0 - 2
Smouha SC
SMO
41%
30%
29%
72 72 0 +1
20 May. 2013
SMO
Smouha SC
3 - 0
Misr El-Makasa
MIS
43%
29%
28%
71 76 5 +1

Matches

Al Ahly SC
Al Ahly SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2013
EEE
El Entag El Harby
0 - 2
Al Ahly SC
ALA
25%
28%
47%
77 62 15 0
18 Dec. 2013
ALA
Al Ahly SC
1 - 5
Monterrey
MON
28%
24%
48%
77 84 7 0
14 Dec. 2013
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 0
Al Ahly SC
ALA
70%
17%
13%
77 84 7 0
10 Nov. 2013
ALA
Al Ahly SC
2 - 0
Orlando Pirates
PIR
55%
24%
22%
77 75 2 0
02 Nov. 2013
PIR
Orlando Pirates
1 - 1
Al Ahly SC
ALA
42%
28%
30%
77 75 2 0