Smolevichy vs Luch Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
DNP
4 - 2
SMO
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SMO
2 - 2
ORS
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
OSH
0 - 2
SMO
30%
26%
43%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 1
GOM
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 0
SMO
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luch Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
LMI
0 - 0
ZOR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FCS
2 - 2
LMI
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LMI
0 - 1
LID
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GOM
1 - 0
LMI
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LMI
2 - 0
KHI
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |