Smiltene vs FK Ogre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.9%
16%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAD
4 - 1
SMI
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SMI
6 - 0
PRE
81%
11%
8%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 2
AUD
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 3
BAB
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RTU
1 - 3
SMI
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FK Ogre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RCR
3 - 0
ALB
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RCR
0 - 1
CAD
18%
21%
61%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PRE
3 - 1
RCR
30%
21%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -3 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RCR
2 - 4
AUD
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RCR
0 - 4
BAB
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | +1 |