Smiltene vs JDFS Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
LIE
7 - 2
SMI
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
STA
0 - 1
SMI
40%
23%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 2
SAL
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SMI
4 - 3
REZ
15%
19%
65%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RIG
3 - 2
SMI
86%
9%
5%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
STA
0 - 3
ALB
26%
25%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 1
REZ
24%
22%
54%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 0
ALB
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 7
CAR
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 0
RCR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |