Smedby vs Mjolby AI FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
8º
13º
12º
10
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 59 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 51 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 43 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 42 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 42 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 39 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 34 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 25 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 19 |
14º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
39% | 72.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SME
2 - 1
ENS
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ATV
2 - 0
SME
53%
24%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SME
1 - 3
HUD
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NYK
2 - 1
SME
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SME
0 - 0
SYL
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mjolby AI FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 0
BKL
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ENS
0 - 2
MAI
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
0 - 3
NAI
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 3
ATV
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SYR
1 - 1
MAI
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |