Varnsdorf vs Sigma Olomouc II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
16º
15º
24
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 3
CHR
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 2
VYS
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIS
1 - 0
SLO
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FKP
2 - 3
SLO
10%
16%
74%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLO
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sigma Olomouc II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 0
SGO
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SGO
5 - 0
BOI
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
4 - 0
SGO
37%
25%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SGO
3 - 1
VJI
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ZLI
1 - 0
SGO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |