Sloga Meridian vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
54.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
12º
9º
78
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 3
SLO
20%
25%
56%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
4 - 2
SLO
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 0
VEL
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
IGM
0 - 2
SLO
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
SIR
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POS
0 - 1
ZRI
29%
30%
41%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
20%
28%
52%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZRI
4 - 1
SAR
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
BBL
1 - 0
ZRI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SBR
2 - 1
ZRI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |