Slivnishki Geroy vs Botev Ihtiman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slivnishki Geroy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 3
SLI
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 0
GER
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
SLI
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLI
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 0
STR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
BEL
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
BOT
44%
22%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 4
OBO
19%
24%
58%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -3 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
BOT
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
GER
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |