Skjold vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skjold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AAF
1 - 0
SKJ
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SKJ
1 - 2
LIF
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SKJ
5 - 1
SKI
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 2
SKJ
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SKJ
4 - 1
KJE
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 0
SKI
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SVE
3 - 1
AAR
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 3
KJE
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
THI
4 - 0
AAR
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AAR
4 - 4
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |