Non League Div One Northern West Round 15

Skelmersdale United vs Witton Albion analysis

Skelmersdale United Witton Albion
32 ELO 31
2.5% Tilt 5.7%
24509º General ELO ranking 7441º
1123º Country ELO ranking 283º
ELO win probability
56.2%
Skelmersdale United
21.3%
Draw
22.4%
Witton Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
Skelmersdale United
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.4%
Win probability
Witton Albion
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Skelmersdale United
-5%
+17%
Witton Albion

Points and table prediction

Skelmersdale United
Their league position
Witton Albion
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
18º
11º
59
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Macclesfield Town
90
90
100%
Leek Town
76
76
100%
Workington
75
75
100%
Clitheroe
64
64
100%
Runcorn Linnets
63
63
100%
Witton Albion
59
59
100%
Mossley
58
58
100%
Prescot Cables
53
53
100%
Kidsgrove Athletic
51
51
100%
Trafford
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Skelmersdale United
11º
48
48
11º
100%
City of Liverpool
12º
46
46
12º
0%
Bootle FC
13º
46
46
13º
0%
1874 Northwich
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Newcastle Town
15º
45
45
15º
100%
Hanley Town
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Widnes
17º
44
44
17º
100%
Glossop
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Colne FC
19º
37
37
19º
100%
Ramsbottom United
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Skelmersdale United
Witton Albion
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Skelmersdale United
Witton Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Skelmersdale United
Skelmersdale United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
MAC
Macclesfield Town
1 - 0
Skelmersdale United
SKE
73%
17%
11%
34 45 11 0
29 Oct. 2022
SKE
Skelmersdale United
1 - 0
Mossley
MOS
52%
21%
27%
33 30 3 +1
22 Oct. 2022
COL
Colne FC
1 - 2
Skelmersdale United
SKE
30%
24%
46%
31 29 2 +2
15 Oct. 2022
RAM
Ramsbottom United
3 - 5
Skelmersdale United
SKE
24%
22%
55%
30 22 8 +1
08 Oct. 2022
SKE
Skelmersdale United
1 - 3
Newcastle Town
NEW
62%
20%
18%
32 27 5 -2

Matches

Witton Albion
Witton Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
WIT
Witton Albion
1 - 2
Leek Town
LEE
19%
22%
59%
31 45 14 0
29 Oct. 2022
TRA
Trafford
2 - 1
Witton Albion
WIT
33%
25%
43%
33 27 6 -2
22 Oct. 2022
WIT
Witton Albion
5 - 1
Ramsbottom United
RAM
74%
16%
11%
31 21 10 +2
15 Oct. 2022
WID
Widnes
2 - 3
Witton Albion
WIT
36%
25%
39%
31 27 4 0
01 Oct. 2022
KID
Kidsgrove Athletic
1 - 1
Witton Albion
WIT
49%
24%
28%
31 31 0 0