Norwegian Fourth Division Group 3 Round 11

Skeid II vs Ullern analysis

Skeid II Ullern
24 ELO 37
10.2% Tilt 19%
42749º General ELO ranking 8872º
392º Country ELO ranking 128º
ELO win probability
21.1%
Skeid II
20%
Draw
58.9%
Ullern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
Skeid II
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
58.9%
Win probability
Ullern
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Skeid II
-19%
-31%
Ullern

Points and table prediction

Skeid II
Their league position
Ullern
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
12º
32
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Asker
62
62
100%
Nordstrand
59
59
100%
Frigg
55
55
100%
Gamle Oslo
53
53
100%
Bærum
46
46
100%
Sarpsborg 08 II
38
38
100%
Oppsal
33
33
100%
KFUM Oslo II
32
32
0%
Ullern
32
32
0%
Åssiden IF
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Flint
11º
29
29
11º
100%
Skeid II
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Askollen FK
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Mjøndalen IF II
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Skeid II
Ullern
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Skeid II
Ullern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Skeid II
Skeid II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2024
FRI
Frigg
6 - 0
Skeid II
SKE
87%
9%
4%
25 48 23 0
03 Jun. 2024
SKE
Skeid II
0 - 3
Nordstrand
NOR
13%
17%
70%
26 45 19 -1
28 May. 2024
ASK
Asker
5 - 2
Skeid II
SKE
83%
11%
6%
27 44 17 -1
21 May. 2024
SKE
Skeid II
2 - 3
Sarpsborg 08 II
SAR
39%
22%
39%
28 30 2 -1
13 May. 2024
GOF
Gamle Oslo
4 - 2
Skeid II
SKE
10%
14%
76%
30 15 15 -2

Matches

Ullern
Ullern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2024
BAR
Bærum
2 - 2
Ullern
ULL
67%
17%
16%
36 41 5 0
01 Jun. 2024
ULL
Ullern
2 - 1
Asker
ASK
24%
24%
53%
34 44 10 +2
25 May. 2024
OPP
Oppsal
4 - 0
Ullern
ULL
53%
21%
26%
36 37 1 -2
16 May. 2024
ULL
Ullern
1 - 2
Nordstrand
NOR
25%
23%
52%
36 44 8 0
11 May. 2024
FRI
Frigg
2 - 0
Ullern
ULL
75%
15%
11%
37 46 9 -1