Non League Div One Isthmian South Jor. 31

Sittingbourne vs Guernsey analysis

Sittingbourne Guernsey
22 ELO 17
2.6% Tilt -4.2%
6586º General ELO ranking 11196º
305º Country ELO ranking 679º
ELO win probability
63%
Sittingbourne
19.3%
Draw
17.6%
Guernsey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
Sittingbourne
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.7%
Win probability
Guernsey
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sittingbourne
+10%
-21%
Guernsey

ELO progression

Sittingbourne
Guernsey
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sittingbourne
Sittingbourne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2017
WAL
Walton Casuals
3 - 2
Sittingbourne
SIT
67%
18%
15%
22 26 4 0
07 Jan. 2017
CAR
Carshalton Athletic
2 - 2
Sittingbourne
SIT
61%
21%
19%
22 24 2 0
02 Jan. 2017
SIT
Sittingbourne
1 - 5
Greenwich Borough
GRE
28%
22%
50%
23 32 9 -1
31 Dec. 2016
SIT
Sittingbourne
2 - 4
Hastings United
HAS
30%
24%
46%
25 31 6 -2
26 Dec. 2016
FAV
Faversham Town
1 - 1
Sittingbourne
SIT
53%
23%
25%
25 25 0 0

Matches

Guernsey
Guernsey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2017
CHI
Chipstead
1 - 3
Guernsey
GUE
56%
20%
23%
16 18 2 0
21 Jan. 2017
GUE
Guernsey
1 - 2
Whyteleafe
WHY
22%
22%
56%
16 25 9 0
17 Jan. 2017
HYT
Hythe Town
8 - 1
Guernsey
GUE
78%
14%
8%
17 30 13 -1
07 Jan. 2017
HOR
Horsham
0 - 0
Guernsey
GUE
69%
17%
15%
17 21 4 0
02 Jan. 2017
GUE
Guernsey
1 - 3
South Park FC
SOU
18%
20%
62%
18 31 13 -1
X