IK Sirius vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
14º
11º
34
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 53 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 48 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 37 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 2
MJÄ
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GÖT
3 - 1
SIR
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OIF
2 - 2
SIR
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
AIK
1 - 2
SIR
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SIR
3 - 1
AIK
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
GÖT
1 - 2
ELF
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GÖT
3 - 1
SIR
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
AIK
3 - 0
GÖT
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
GÖT
3 - 3
OIF
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BRO
1 - 3
GÖT
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |