IK Sirius vs Halmstads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
14º
11º
18
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 53 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 48 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 37 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 30% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
ELF
4 - 3
SIR
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MFF
1 - 1
SIR
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SIR
0 - 3
BRO
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SIR
0 - 1
DJU
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 2
SIR
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Halmstads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
HAL
1 - 3
MJÄ
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NOR
3 - 0
HAL
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
HAL
1 - 0
OIF
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GÖT
1 - 0
HAL
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
HAL
0 - 5
DEG
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |