IK Sirius vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 0
SIR
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1999 |
SIR
2 - 1
IKB
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1999 |
SIR
1 - 0
ENK
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
DEG
2 - 2
SIR
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
SIR
1 - 1
UME
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
GEF
0 - 0
VAS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
GEF
3 - 2
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
BRO
4 - 2
GEF
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
GEF
1 - 3
ASS
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
NAC
1 - 1
GEF
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |