IK Sirius vs AFC Eskilstuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUT
0 - 3
SIR
27%
24%
50%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SIR
3 - 0
UME
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
DAL
3 - 0
SIR
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SIR
3 - 1
ASI
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 1
SIR
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 3
SYR
18%
25%
56%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LJU
1 - 0
AFC
73%
19%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 2
DEG
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
OIF
2 - 0
AFC
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
JON
2 - 1
AFC
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |