Syria vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1980 |
SYR
1 - 0
CHN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
SYR
1 - 0
BGD
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1980 |
PRK
2 - 1
SYR
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1980 |
IRN
0 - 0
SYR
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1980 |
DDR
5 - 0
SYR
83%
11%
7%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
IRQ
1 - 0
JPN
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1982 |
JPN
2 - 1
KOR
29%
25%
45%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1982 |
JPN
3 - 1
YEM
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
JPN
1 - 0
IRN
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1982 |
ROU
3 - 1
JPN
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |