Siracusa vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
VIC
1 - 1
SIR
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SIR
4 - 0
SAL
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
VER
4 - 1
SIR
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 1
SIR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
MES
2 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
UNI
3 - 1
ASL
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
PAD
1 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
GEN
2 - 0
UNI
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
UNI
2 - 0
VER
73%
16%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |