Sion vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
10º
57
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 4
STG
20%
22%
59%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 1
SIO
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 1
SIO
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 1
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
YOB
1 - 1
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 0
LUG
21%
23%
57%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |