Simurq vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SUM
0 - 3
SIM
21%
25%
55%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SIM
3 - 0
TUR
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
SIM
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SIM
1 - 0
FKQ
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
SIM
2 - 2
AZA
45%
27%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
QAR
0 - 1
AZA
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FKN
2 - 0
QAR
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
QAR
2 - 0
FKB
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SSU
0 - 1
QAR
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
QAR
0 - 3
KHA
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |