Simba SC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
SIM
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
4 - 1
VCL
27%
23%
50%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
3 - 0
ALM
86%
11%
4%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
1 - 1
TAN
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
SIM
15%
19%
66%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 0
MTI
64%
23%
14%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MTI
0 - 2
GFC
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
MTI
0 - 0
BUM
34%
32%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
YOU
1 - 0
MTI
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MTI
1 - 1
IFC
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |