Simat vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 2
FON
15%
19%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ROT
5 - 4
SIM
37%
22%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 2
VER
19%
19%
61%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GAN
1 - 0
SIM
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 6
DAI
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TAV
3 - 2
MIR
70%
16%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FON
2 - 1
MIR
84%
11%
6%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 2
ROT
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
VER
4 - 1
MIR
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 7
GAN
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |