Sigleß vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sigleß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
SIG
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SIG
0 - 3
STM
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 1
SIG
83%
12%
6%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
STI
3 - 0
SIG
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
SIG
0 - 0
PUR
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
GUS
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
DRA
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 3
MAR
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
STM
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |