CAF Qualifying Grupo G round 4

Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast analysis

Sierra Leone Ivory Coast
58 ELO 85
-17.4% Tilt -4%
3356º General ELO ranking 236º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.5%
Sierra Leone
22.2%
Draw
64.3%
Ivory Coast

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
Sierra Leone
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
64.3%
Win probability
Côte d'Ivoire
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sierra Leone
-7%
+1%
Ivory Coast

ELO progression

Sierra Leone
Côte d'Ivoire
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sierra Leone
Sierra Leone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2024
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
4 - 1
Sierra Leone
SLE
83%
13%
5%
58 85 27 0
10 Sep. 2024
ZAM
Zambia
3 - 2
Sierra Leone
SLE
68%
19%
13%
58 70 12 0
06 Sep. 2024
SLE
Sierra Leone
0 - 0
Chad
CHA
65%
21%
14%
58 47 11 0
10 Jun. 2024
BFA
Burkina Faso
2 - 2
Sierra Leone
SLE
70%
19%
12%
58 74 16 0
05 Jun. 2024
SLE
Sierra Leone
2 - 1
Djibouti
DJI
61%
21%
18%
58 34 24 0

Matches

Côte d'Ivoire
Côte d'Ivoire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2024
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
4 - 1
Sierra Leone
SLE
83%
13%
5%
85 58 27 0
10 Sep. 2024
CHA
Chad
0 - 2
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
7%
18%
75%
85 48 37 0
06 Sep. 2024
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
2 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
79%
14%
7%
85 70 15 0
11 Jun. 2024
KEN
Kenya
0 - 0
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
12%
23%
64%
85 65 20 0
07 Jun. 2024
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
1 - 0
Gabon
GAB
80%
14%
7%
85 68 17 0