Sierra Leone vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
IRQ
1 - 0
SLE
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
SLE
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 1
SLE
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RSA
0 - 0
SLE
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SLE
2 - 1
EGY
17%
28%
55%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 4
CPV
22%
27%
52%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CPV
2 - 1
ZIM
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MLI
3 - 0
CPV
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LBR
1 - 0
CPV
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CPV
4 - 2
LBR
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |