Sierning vs Eferding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GMU
0 - 2
SIE
58%
22%
21%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
2 - 1
BAD
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRU
3 - 0
SIE
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 0
SVF
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
DON
1 - 1
SIE
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Eferding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
EFE
2 - 2
BAD
53%
22%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 2
EFE
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GMU
0 - 2
EFE
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
EFE
0 - 3
BAD
41%
23%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GRU
1 - 2
EFE
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |